In order to get an overview of existing scenario work, dealing with issues relevant for the Baltic Sea, the BalticSTERN Secretariat formed a working group, with the mission to assess ongoing activities and with a first initiative to send out a questionnaire in June 2011.
The purpose of this survey was to capture the model-based scenario development connected to environmental state of the Baltic, which is why the questionnaire was sent out to different research projects/institutions (e.g. all BONUS+ projects).
The questionnaire resulted in replies from 17 studies, of which the majority developed more than one scenario.
We have now compiled the results from the questionnaire (pdf, 1 MB), and this can serve as a guidance in the implementation of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive, especially with regard to addressing the cost of degradation (article 8.c), since the studies captures six of the eleven descriptors (biodiversity, invasive species, commercial species, eutrophication and ecological effects of contaminants) of this directive.
A more in depth description of each scenario study can be found in EEA’s catalogue of scenarios studies.